## Want to get better grades?

Nope, I’m not ready yet## Get free, full access to:

- Flashcards
- Notes
- Explanations
- Study Planner
- Textbook solutions

Probability and Statistics

Probability, the science of chance, and statistics, the science of interpreting data, influence and govern our daily lives. They are used to predict the weather, determine the effectiveness of medicine and are an important process in making scientific breakthroughs. They can even help us play card games.

Explore our app and discover over 50 million learning materials for free.

- Flashcards
- Notes
- Explanations
- Study Planner
- Textbook solutions

- Applied Mathematics
- Calculus
- Decision Maths
- Discrete Mathematics
- Geometry
- Logic and Functions
- Mechanics Maths
- Probability and Statistics
- Bar Graphs
- Basic Probability
- Bayesian inference
- Bernoulli distribution
- Charts and Diagrams
- Chebyshev’s inequality
- Conditional expectation
- Continuous and Discrete Data
- Continuous probability
- Correlation coefficient
- Covariance
- Discrete probability
- Event space
- Expected value
- Exponential distribution
- F-test
- Factorial experiment
- Frequency, Frequency Tables and Levels of Measurement
- Hazard function
- Independent Events Probability
- Joint probability
- Kolmogorov-Smirnov test
- Law of large numbers
- Line Graphs
- Mann-Whitney U test
- Marginal probability
- Markov decision processes
- Martingales
- Mean Median and Mode
- Multinomial distribution
- Mutually Exclusive Probabilities
- Permutation tests
- Poisson distribution
- Poisson process
- Probability Rules
- Probability of Combined Events
- Quantile function
- Quartiles and Interquartile Range
- Queuing theory
- Random walk
- Renewal theory
- Sample space
- Statistical independence
- Stochastic modeling
- Survival function
- Systematic Listing
- T-test
- Uniform distribution
- Weibull distribution
- probability distributions
- Pure Maths
- Statistics
- Theoretical and Mathematical Physics

Lerne mit deinen Freunden und bleibe auf dem richtigen Kurs mit deinen persönlichen Lernstatistiken

Jetzt kostenlos anmeldenNie wieder prokastinieren mit unseren Lernerinnerungen.

Jetzt kostenlos anmeldenProbability, the science of chance, and statistics, the science of interpreting data, influence and govern our daily lives. They are used to predict the weather, determine the effectiveness of medicine and are an important process in making scientific breakthroughs. They can even help us play card games.

More generally, probability and statistics help individuals and institutions make better decisions by learning from events in the past and applying this knowledge to the present to affect the future.

It is important to understand the differences and similarities between probability and statistics. They are different but related subjects.

Probability is a theoretical subject used to analyse the likelihood of events happening in the future. On the other hand, statistics is an applied subject which uses probability theory to analyse data which has been collected.

Probability and statistics are related in that the theories we develop in probability mathematics are compared with statistical findings which can tell us more information about the data. We can also use statistics to estimate the probability of something happening in the future.

Probability is the likelihood of some event occurring. The probability of an event happening is always a **fraction**, **decimal** or **percentage** between 0 and 1.

**Probability** is the branch of mathematics that studies the likelihood of events occurring.

The basic formula for probability is the following:

There is a lot of terminology in probability which you need to be familiar with. The better you understand the basic concepts detailed below, the easier it will be when you tackle trickier probability questions!

Terminology | Definition |

Experiment or trial | A repeatable action which has a defined set of outcomes. |

Sample space | The set of all possible outcomes of an experiment, usually denoted by or S. |

Event | An event is one particular outcome, usually denoted by a capital letter. The probability of event A occurring is commonly notated as P(A). |

You are on a game show and you have to choose between 2 boxes. One contains a sports car and the other is empty. You are given no clues as to which box contains the prize and must therefore choose a box at random. What is the probability you win the sports car?

**Solution**

Here, the sample space is S = {W, L} where W stands for 'win' and L stands for 'lose'. This is the sample space since these are the **only possible outcomes**.

Intuitively, since you are choosing at **random**, there is an **equal probability** of choosing the prize and choosing the empty box. Since probabilities are always between 0 and 1, the probability of choosing the sports car is 0.5 (= 50%).

We can also arrive at this answer by using the **basic formula for probability**. The number of ways to choose the box with the sports car is 1, and the total number of outcomes (either choosing the sports car or choosing the empty box) is 2. Using mathematical notation, the probability of winning is as follows:

Therefore, the probability of choosing the sports car and therefore winning is which is equivalent to 50% or 0.5.

Data usually contains far too many individual numbers for the human brain to even comprehend, let alone understand. This is why we need statistics: to help us to better understand the underlying complexities in the data we have collected.

**Statistics **concerns the analysis and interpretation of data which has been collected.

The sorts of tasks you will have in statistics questions will fall into one of three categories: data collection, analysis, and visualisation and interpretation.

The type of data collected will depend on the statistical question you want answered, i.e. the characteristic you want to study. You might be interested in collecting data through holding a scientific **experiment** (e.g. measuring the effect of location on the growth of plants) or perhaps by collecting data through **observation** (e.g. recording the number of students that are late for class).

All data falls into two categories: qualitative and quantitative.

**Qualitative data **refers to descriptive data, such as words. It might be collected through interviews or surveys.

**Quantitative data **refers to things which can be represented using numbers, like measurements such as height and weight, or quantities of something that we are interested in knowing more about. Important methods include:

conducting a

**census**data is collected from every single member of a population

data is collected from a subset of a population called a

**sample**this subset is either randomly chosen or is chosen to be representative of the wider population

controlled

**experiments**a scientific procedure is planned such that accurate data can be collected and analysed

Quantitative data also falls into two categories: continuous and discrete.

**Continuous** variables can take on any value within a range, which can make it more difficult for us to count them. For example, length can be measured to as many decimal places as is possible. It's up to you, the data collector, to decide how many decimal places are necessary.

**Discrete** variables must take on particular values within a range, which makes it easier to count them. For example, shoe size can be 4 or 4.5, but not 4.26735!

Once you have collected your data, it is now time to start analysing it. Since it is very difficult (and often impossible!) to understand data in its raw form, we need to condense it into manageable descriptions that **retain as much information about the data as possible** whilst being understandable. This is the ultimate goal of statistics: to understand, describe and find meaningful information from datasets.

Descriptive statistics are particularly useful. These are numbers that tell us something about the data. There are two kinds: measures of location and measures of spread.

**Measures of location** use one statistic to summarise a dataset. They include:

**mean**a particularly common and useful statistic that requires summing values and dividing by the number of values, often denoted by (pronounced 'x bar'):

;

**median**the middle value in an ordered list of values;

**mode**the most common value.

**Measures of spread** describe the variability of the data. They include:

**range**this is the largest value minus the smallest value in the data;

**interquartile****range**this describes the range of the central 'quartiles' of the data, between 25% and 75% which surround the median at 50%.

Data is often be represented in **frequency tables. ****Frequency** refers to the **number of times something occurs**, which in the case of statistics will be the number of times a particular data value occurs. From a frequency table, you will be able to extract descriptive statistics such as the ones listed above. You will also be able to use these to **visualise data**.

Descriptive statistics are useful in condensing data into a small amount of information, and can tell us about the location and spread of the data. Data visualisations, on the other hand, are able to graphically represent the data. For a thorough analysis, you would ideally use both methods to be able to fully understand the behaviour of the data.

We will now go through some examples of different data visualisations. Don't worry if you can't yet fully understand the examples below – there are in-depth explanations in other articles!

These are useful in representing continuous data and trends.

The following is an example of a line graph:

These are useful in representing data which is grouped.

The following is an example of a bar chart:

These are useful in representing the frequency of something happening.

The following is an example of a histogram:

These are useful in representing proportional data.

The following is an example of a pie chart:

These visualise the range, interquartile range and median.

The following is an example of a box-and-whisker plot:

Shows the relationship between two variables.

The following is an example of a scatter plot:

Finally, once the data has been analysed and represented graphically, we can draw conclusions from the data. Have a look at the example below.

The following is data collected from a team's football matches. The frequency of the number of goals scored by each player per match is recorded from a total of 20 matches.

Team member | Scored 0 goals | Scored 1 goal | Scored 2 goals | Scored 3 goals | Scored 4 goals |

Zack | 5 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1 |

Josh | 9 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 |

Amy | 0 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 0 |

Ahmed | 2 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 2 |

Emily | 7 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 |

a) What type of data is presented here?

b) Which team member scores the largest number of goals over the course of the season?

c) Which player scored the highest average number of goals per game?

d) Represent this data using a pie chart.

e) What does this data tell us about the performance of the players?

**Solution**

a) Frequency and goals scored per match are both quantitative, discrete data. It is impossible to score 0.5 goals!

b) By multiplying the number of goals by the frequency, *f*, we can find the total goals scored by each player:

Team member | f x 0 | f x 1 | f x 2 | f x 3 | f x 4 | Total goals |

Zack | 0 | 5 | 4 × 2 = 8 | 4 × 3 = 12 | 2 × 4 = 8 | 33 |

Josh | 0 | 5 | 7 × 2 = 14 | 0 × 3 = 0 | 0 × 4 = 0 | 19 |

Amy | 0 | 13 | 3 × 2 = 6 | 4 × 3 = 12 | 0 × 4 = 0 | 32 |

Ahmed | 0 | 11 | 4 × 2 = 8 | 1 × 3 = 3 | 2 × 4 = 8 | 30 |

Emily | 0 | 12 | 0 × 2 = 0 | 0 × 3 = 0 | 1 × 4 = 4 | 16 |

Josh: goals per match

Amy: to 2 d.p. goals per match

Ahmed: goals per match

Emily: goals per match

d) A pie chart shows proportional data. This means we need to work out what proportion of the total goals in the season are scored by each player. To do this, we should divide each player's total goals by the total number of goals scored during the season.Total number of goals scored by all players = 33 + 19 + 32 + 30 + 16 = 130Zack: Josh: Amy: Ahmed: Emily:e) There isn't just one right answer here! This is about interpretation, so what is important is to have your answer backed up by statistics that you have found from the data.A possible conclusion we might take from the data is that the three highest-scoring players, Zack, Amy and Ahmed, all contributed a similar number of goals, making up 73% of the goals scored. On the other hand, Ahmed and Emily together contributed 27% of the goals, which is considerably less.

**Probability**is the branch of mathematics that studies the likelihood of events occurring- An experiment or trial is a repeatable action which has a defined set of outcomes
- A sample space is the set of all possible outcomes of an experiment
- An event is one particular outcome. The probability of event A occurring is P(A)

**Statistics**concerns the analysis and interpretation of data which has been collected- Data can be qualitative or quantitative
- Quantitative data can be discrete or continuous
- Measures of location use one statistic to summarise a dataset
- e.g. mean, median and mode

- Measures of spread describe the variability of the data
- e.g. range and interquartile range

- Some examples of data visualisations are line graphs, bar charts, histograms, pie charts, box-and-whisker plots and scatter plots

Probability is the science of chance.

Statistics concerns the analysis and interpretation of data which has been collected.

What are measures of central tendency that attempt to summarise a broader picture?

Mean, median, mode

What does the symbol μ denote in statistics?

Population mean

To find the median, the data values involved need to be arranged from lowest to highest so what can be figured out much quicker?

The middle point value

What do you do what you have two middle point values?

Find the average of the numbers

Find the mean of the given data set

56, 78, 22, 43, 19, 35, 54

43.9

What is the median of a data set?

The median is the middle point value of the data set when arranged in ascending order.

Already have an account? Log in

Open in App
More about Probability and Statistics

The first learning app that truly has everything you need to ace your exams in one place

- Flashcards & Quizzes
- AI Study Assistant
- Study Planner
- Mock-Exams
- Smart Note-Taking

Sign up to highlight and take notes. It’s 100% free.

Save explanations to your personalised space and access them anytime, anywhere!

Sign up with Email Sign up with AppleBy signing up, you agree to the Terms and Conditions and the Privacy Policy of StudySmarter.

Already have an account? Log in

Already have an account? Log in

The first learning app that truly has everything you need to ace your exams in one place

- Flashcards & Quizzes
- AI Study Assistant
- Study Planner
- Mock-Exams
- Smart Note-Taking

Sign up with Email

Already have an account? Log in